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This Week

A VERY HIGH-STAKES GAME OF CHICKEN

Yushchenko stands to lose in an election with a weak party and few friends in the Rada. Yanukovych stands to lose by risking his coalition. So why the confrontation now? More

WHAT THE BUSINESS COMMUNITY SAYS

We polled a few of Ukraine’s local and international business people to get their views on the ongoing political turmoil More

STEPS TO RESOLVE A POLITICAL CRISIS

Whether the deadlock is ended by elections or not, failure to respect rule of law and lack of stability remain the underlying problems that need to be solved More

BUSINESS AS USUAL

Revolution? What revolution? Most Ukrainians are too busy getting on with life and business to take the politicians too seriously any more More
 

News

STEPS TO RESOLVE A POLITICAL CRISIS

Whether the deadlock is ended by elections or not, failure to respect rule of law and lack of stability remain the underlying problems that need to be solved

The publication of the President's decree dissolving the Verkhovna Rada and resolutions from the Rada and the Cabinet of Ministers declaring this decree illegitimate have driven the political and legal situation in Ukraine to a dead end. The inactivity of the Constitutional Court makes it improbable that there might be an immediate review of the Constitutional appeal by deputies to determine the legitimacy of the President's decree.

Ignoring rule of law

This situation has arisen because all branches of government in Ukraine have been ignoring the principle of rule of law and the rules of honest political competition. This could be seen in the way the Government failed to carry out the provisions of the Manifesto of National Unity that it had signed on to and the fact that all government representatives - including the President of Ukraine - failed to respect court rulings. This trend is also evident in the Verkhovna Rada's deliberate adoption of laws that were in clear violation of Constitutional norms and even grossly violated the legislature's own rules of procedure and, finally, in the way that the coalition has been trying to expand its numbers to a constitutional majority in ways that are not allowed by the Constitution of Ukraine.

All these actions have been cutting into the level of trust among Ukrainian voters in the institutions of government, continuing the cycle of legal nihilism and the scoffing of the law at all levels in Ukrainian society.

Rada no judge of constitutionality

Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko issued a decree dissolving the current legislature as is within his competence to do, as stated in Article 106 of the Constitution of Ukraine. Until the Constitutional Court hands down a ruling as to the constitutionality of this decree, it must be carried out by all government bodies, their officials and elected officials on all the territory of Ukraine.

The Verkhovna Rada and Government are not qualified or authorized to evaluate the constitutionality of a Presidential action, as this is the exclusive prerogative of the Constitutional Court. Any statements about the unconstitutionality of this decree and the impossibility of carrying it out, amount to an usurpation of state power.

The conditions for resolving this political crisis are:

  • all government and administrative bodies must strictly observe all legal norms, while the law enforcement branch and defense forces must refrain from interfering in the political process and maintain law and order in the country;
  • the Verkhovna Rada and Government must carry out in full all the measures declared in the Presidential Decree on the pre-term suspension of the powers of the Verkhovna Rada;
  • the Constitutional Court must render a ruling as soon as possible regarding the legitimacy of the Presidential Decree;
  • should the Presidential Decree be declared unconstitutional prior to the holding of a pre-term VR election, the election campaign must be immediately halted and the work of the Fifth Convocation of the Verkhovna Rada resumed in full force;
  • should the Presidential Decree be declared unconstitutional after the holding of pre-term elections, the results must be recognised and the Sixth Convocation of the Verkhovna Rada formed on that basis. In both instances, all political and moral responsibility for having taken an unconstitutional action shall lie with the President of Ukraine.

Re-elections will not resolve the problem of relations among the centres of power in Ukraine. The next coalition may be little different from the current one and it will, once again, have to deal with the same issues: first of all, the failure to uphold the principle of rule of law and respect for the law, the rejection of democratic mechanisms for conflict resolution and a consensual approach to consolidating interests.

Similar challenges will remain

Any future coalition will be faced with the same challenges - the lack of a comprehensible state policy and priorities in many spheres, the unreformed government bureaucracy and the lack of reform in the civil service. In this sense, re-elections will not remove any of the evident problems but only postpone their resolution.

Still, in a situation of political conflict, re-election allows politicians to turn for a mandate of trust to voters, the only source and bearer of power, and to confirm their rightness through the support of the population. Voters themselves are the final recourse for resolving conflicts and politicians must turn to them when they cannot resolve their conflicts in any other way.

In addition, the process of re-election will force all political forces once more to have their say about their priorities in state policy and to clarify the political platforms of the major political parties.

Re-elections could play a positive role in the process of clarifying national policy and stimulating further movement along the path towards comprehensible, concise state policy - should voters demand this of course.

International examples

In democratic countries, political forces voluntarily call for pre-term legislative elections in this kind of situation. This was the case in Great Britain in the winter of 1979, when the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher replaced James Callaghan’s Labour administration in pre-term elections before going on to being a highly successful reform Government. This also happened in 2006 in Germany when then-chancellor Gerhard Schroeder called pre-term elections at which his party failed to win, losing him the chancellorship.

Re-elections are also politically inevitable if the opposition and President insist on it, given that they control more than l50 seats in the Rada. In this situation the Rada is effectively unable to work as the presence of less than two thirds of deputies at any session places under question the legitimacy of any decisions adopted at that session.

This means that re-elections will have to take place not only from the formal legal point-of-view, but also for political reasons. When the country is threatened by a political crisis and there is no way out of it using legal and political methods, then the state must turn to the primary source of all power in a democracy, the people, and gain their permission to carry on the task of governing.

International Centre for Policy Studies, Kyiv
This feature was produced by the International Centre for Policy Studies, an independent research organization whose mandate is to promote the introduction of public policy concepts and practices in Ukraine. www.icps.com.ua
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